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CiADS堆芯keff的核数据敏感性与不确定性分析

Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analysis of Nuclear Data for keff in CiADS Core

  • 摘要: 基于各国评价核数据库(ENDLs)计算加速器驱动嬗变研究装置(CiADS)堆芯的有效增值因子(keff),发现对应不同的ENDLs的计算结果差异较大。先通过核素替换法找出235U、238U、56Fe和209Bi是造成差异的主要核素,然后通过敏感性计算指出CiADS堆芯中各反应对keff灵敏度大小,不同ENDLs对平均裂变中子数、裂变反应和俘获反应计算的ISC值基本一致,同时结合不同ENDLs中截面差异分析了替换法keff差异原因。利用不确定度量化方法分析了不同ENDLs中不同核素的不同反应对CiADS堆芯keff的不确定度大小,并分析了部分灵敏度差异较小核素的协方差情况。结果表明ENDF/B-VII.1、ENDF/B-VIII.0和JENDL-5计算得到的CiADS堆芯keff的总不确定度分别为:2.487%、1.005%和0.684%。不确定度贡献最大的4个核素分别是235U、238U、56Fe和209Bi,其中,235U平均裂变中子数、裂变反应、俘获反应以及238U的俘获反应不确定度贡献最大。这项工作为ADS专用核数据建库、核数据测量、核数据调整及相关工作指出了需要重点关注核素的反应及其敏感能区。

     

    Abstract: Calculations of the effective multiplication factor (keff) for the core of the China Initiative Accelerator Driven System (CiADS) have been conducted based on various evaluated nuclear data libraries (ENDLs), revealing significant differences in keff values calculated by different ENDLs. The primary isotopes responsible for these differences have been identified as 235U, 238U, 56Fe, and 209Bi through the substitution method of isotope. Sensitivity analyses have been conducted to indicate the sensitivities of reactions for keff in the CiADS core, ISC of the average number of fission neutrons, fission reactions, and capture reactions are generally consistent across different ENDLs. At the same time, the reasons for the keff differences in the substitution method are explained by analyzing the cross-section discrepancies in various ENDLs. The uncertainties of different reactions from different nuclides in various ENDLs have been quantified for keff of the CiADS core, and the covariance of some nuclides with relatively small sensitivity differences has been analyzed. The result shows that the total uncertainties of ENDF/B-VII.1, ENDF/B-VIII.0, and JENDL-5 are 2.487%, 1.005%, and 0.684%, respectively. 235U, 238U, 56Fe, and 209Bi are the nuclides contributing most to uncertainty, among them, the average fission neutron number, fission reaction, capture reaction of 235U and capture reaction of 238U contributing most to uncertainty. This work highlights the reactions and sensitive energy regions of key nuclides for special nuclear data library development of ADS, as well as nuclear data measurement, nuclear data adjustment and related activities.

     

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